Office of National Statistics (ONS) has published new population projection data

SAVE SHERE, GOMSHALL & ABINGER

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OFFICE OF NATIONAL STATISTICS DATA SHOW GUILDFORD BOROUGH COUNCIL’S HOUSING NUMBERS ARE TOO HIGH

The Office of National Statistics (ONS) has just published new population projection data for the whole country (yesterday, 27/2/2015), which can be found here:

http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/publications/re-reference-tables.html?edition=tcm%3A77-335242

National Planning Policy Guidance was updated yesterday too, to reflect the fact that this ONS projection, as the most up to date assessment of future housing growth, should be the basis of assessment of housing need – see the new guidelines here:

http://planningguidance.planningportal.gov.uk/revisions/2a/016/

The Office of National Statistics estimates that the population in Guildford borough will grow by a total of 21,600 people between 2012 and 2031.

We have reviewed housing need, taking into account outstanding planning permissions, because these clearly affect the number of homes that will become available.

Our provisional calculation suggests that an annual housing provision well below 400 homes per annum would meet Guildford’s housing needs, including that of any incoming population.  This number is before any adjustment for constraints, such as Green Belt, infrastructure, congestion and air quality.

Why is Guildford Borough suggesting that we need 816 new homes per annum- more than double this?